Round Table on
"Intelligence and National Security
at the Beginning of the 21st Century"

Dubrovnik, Croatia, October 27-28, 2000.

Main Topics of the Round Table

I Intelligence estimates of the changes in Europe at the end of the 20th Century

Estimates of the changes in the late '80s and '90s in the former socialist countries, the fall of the Berlin Wall, unification of Germany, disintegration of former Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, USSR; dissolution of the Warsaw Pact; enlargement of NATO and PfP, etc.

II The role of Intelligence in conflict resolution (crises and wars in Southeast Europe)

The role of national Intelligence estimates; national strategies and international agreements; the relationship between Intelligence and policy-makers; bilateral cooperation of Intelligence services; Intelligence support to international community and international forces (UNPROFOR, UNCRO, IFOR, SFOR, KFOR, etc.

III Subjects and methods of Intelligence agencies at the beginning of the 21st century: possibilities and limits

National vs. non-national Intelligence collection; covert vs. overt collection of information; bilateral and multilateral cooperation; Intelligence for international, national and private organizations; etc.

IV Ethics and legal norms for Intelligence and national security

Intelligence and policy makers; Intelligence and the public; ethics in special operations, and misinformation; Intelligence and responsibility; national security and human rights, etc.

Participants:

Dr. Wilhelm Agrell, Lund University, Sweden
General Todor Boyadjiev, Bulgarian Euro Atlantic Intelligence Forum, Bulgaria, Sofia
Prof. dr. Krešimir Ćosić, Director of the Institute for Defense Studies, Croatia, Zagreb
Prof. dr. Stevan Dedijer, Integrated Intelligence Consultatnt, Croatia, Dubrovnik
Duško Doder, former Washington Post correspondent in Belgrade and Moscow, USA
Admiral Davor Domazet, Ministry of Defense, Croatia
Ambassador Victor Jackovich, Associate Director, George C. Marshall European Center For Security Studies, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Richard Kerr, Consultant, USA
Admiral Pierre Lacoste, France, Paris
Jan Leijonhielm, Head of Bureau, Defense Research Agency, Sweden
Lt-Gen. N. Leonov, The Russian National Economy Security Service, Russian Federation, Moscow
Lt-Gen. Leonid Shebarshin, President of The Russian National Economy Security Service, Russian Federation, Moscow
Douglas Smith, Consulant, USA
Richard Stolz, Consulant, USA
Prof. dr. Miroslav Tuđman, University of Zagreb, Croatia
Gen. Markus Wolf, Germany

Introduction

Tuđman: Allow me once again to welcome you to this Round Table, "Intelligence and National Security at the beginning of the 21st Century". I believe we all know each other, so there is no need for formal introductions. I am pleased that we are gathered here together and that we are going to discuss these topics during the next two days. In preparation for this meeting, you have received suggestions for the topics to be discussed. I will briefly repeat them: First, Intelligence estimates of the changes in Europe in the last decades of the 20th Century. The second one is the role of Intelligence in conflict resolution. The third is subjects and methods of Intelligence agencies at the beginning of 21st century: possibilities and limits, and the fourth ethics and legal norms for Intelligence and national security. If you agree with these topics, we can discuss them today and tomorrow.

May I first propose moderators to preside over our sessions. We would like the moderators for the first session on Intelligence estimates to be Mr. Shebarshin and Mr. Stolz. For the second session, Mr. Jackovich and Admiral Lacoste. For the third, Mr. Agrell and Mr. Kerr, and for the fourth, Ethics and legal norms, Mr. Boyadjiev and Mr. Wolf. The role of the moderator is to stimulate participants into a lively debate and discussion. Some participants have already given me their contribution in written form, so there will be no need to repeat all the arguments presented therein. Discussions will be recorded, and after authorization will be published in the following issue of our journal.

Thank you very much. We have here a group of very distinguished people, very knowledgeable and experienced, and I am sure we shall have a constructive meeting.