In intelligence, threats constitute actions, facts, states, capabilities, strategies, plans with an impact on national security objectives, values and interests. They are, usually, firmly delimited from risks and vulnerabilities, and can be internal or external, traditional, asymmetric, hybrid, conventional or non conventional, traditional or non traditional.

Human Analysis is likely to develop more towards to limit the number of data taken into account, but those data will have a high causal significance. Machine Analysis, on the other hand, will process huge amount of data and focus on correlations in the first place. Augmented Intelligence, will be a merger of both, that can manifest itself by different combinations of both.

Among the social factors that significantly influence immigration policies in the European Union, the authors singled out the following: demography, identity-culture, economy, socio-political and security factors. The main goal is to see how these social factors affect the intensity of immigration. The authors opt for MIPEX as an instrument for measuring immigration policy, which expresses political tendencies towards the integration of migrants.

Hybrid warfare perhaps fits best into Sun Tzu's philosophy of war, the essence of which is to defeat the enemy in the shortest possible time with as little material and technical resources, and lost human lives, as possible, both on the side of the attacker and the defender.  

A review of the literature and its analysis provides an overview of the main findings of prominent realists who shaped the national interest and created a solid foundation for future research: Hans Morgentau, Raymond Aron, and Kenneth Waltz. Consequently, the scientific goals of this paper are to summarize the scope and manner of national interest’s thematization in realist’s research and, to analyze the significance of their scientific contribution to the Science of Security.

This study will relate through a scrutinization of these terror movements media in specific test cases, to the following hypotheses: These terror movements are guided by Iran as proxies in order to conduct pro-Iranian cognitive warfare.

Terrorists use cyberspace to collect data, raise funds, conduct propaganda, spread radical ideologies and hate speech as well as for the purposes of radicalization, recruitment and operational planning. Social media platforms provide a fertile ground to extend the radical ideologies, to spread terror and to connect with people who share the same views.

The Balkans region remains one of the most significant global security challenges and remains a zone of friction where many global influences and spheres of interest meet. Therefore, even a small country like Montenegro sometimes finds itself playing a role that significantly exceeds its size and importance on the global political stage. Since Roman times, the territory of present-day Montenegro has been a borderland, and if you take a look at the map and the borderline between the Eastern and Western Roman empire at the time of the split, it almost perfectly cuts Montenegro in half.

Donosimo prvi dio Leksikona izvještajnog nazivlja (nešto više od 120 definicija) kojeg je u većem dijelu autor prof.dr.Miroslav Tuđman. Na njemu je prof.Tuđman, s dužim pauzama, radio skoro 20 godina. U bazi podataka evidentirano je nešto više od 3000 pojmova povezanih s izvještajno-sigurnosnim djelovanjem, bez obzira radi li se o djelovanju izvještajno-sigurnosnih agencija ili nadležnih policijskih tijela. 

With the expansion of terrorism and increasingly brutal ways of expressing this type of crime, there is a need for even closer international criminal cooperation of sovereign states in the development of legal mechanisms for the prevention and punishment of perpetrators of these criminal acts.

Georgia’s security environment has significantly deteriorated since the 2008 August War and Russian occupational forces have created enormous problems for the local civilian population. Russian military bases are only 40 kilometers away from the capital, Tbilisi and they represent a monumental threat to the sovereignty of Georgia.

Information and intelligence products must be put to use in the struggle for cognitive raising. Intelligence gathering is no longer just part of the secret war. It has become an integral factor in the effort to acquire materials from various sources to expose and refute enemy accusations and efforts to disseminate fake news.

Effective intelligence cooperation is hard to achieve even at the national level as different services compete for resources and attention from the decision makers, past terrorist incidents in Europe served as a wake up for the public and private institutions to promote intelligence sharing and cooperation among European Union institutions and Member States. 

New dimension of threats are shaping radically new questions for defence communities, which are, in turn demanding fundamentally new answers, underpinned by unconventional mind-sets and integration of methods that facilitate both.

Strategijsko planiranje bi svakako trebalo podrazumijevati investicijsko ulaganje u UI te se u značajnoj mjeri koristiti kao mehanizam alokacije raspoloživih resursa posebno u ma-lome gospodarstvu koje ima ograni-čene prirodne i privredne resurse kao što je hrvatsko.

Danas, slijedeći svoje tendencije ka članstvu u EU, budući da je već postala članicom NATO saveza, Sjeverna Makedonija daje sve od sebe da sigurnosni sektor, a posebno obavještajne i protuobavještajne službe, podigne na višu razinu i približi se svijetu sigurnosni standardi. Kao rezultat toga, posljednjih su godina uspostavljene nove službe i očekuju se promjene u nekim od postojećih obavještajnih službi.

Cyberspace has become an indispensable part in which special operations such as cyber war or warfare take place. The role of special war as the use of so-called soft power was emphasized. The country's number of potential adversaries in cyber warfare is unlimited, making highly endangered aspects of cyber civilian infrastructure, which is essentially military readiness, including the mobilization of forces through the civilian sector, also a likely target.

Obavijesti u cyber prostoru te javno znanje koje u njemu nastaje i koje se distribuira korištenjem tehnoloških sredstava, podložno je novim mogućnostima manipuliranja s realnošću. Društvo znanja i sustavna digitalizacija znanja, koja se temelje na točnim i provjerenim informacijama, postala su podložna financijskim interesima privatnih tehnoloških korporacija koje vlastite poslovne modele globalnog komuniciranja stavljaju ispred pouzdane i sigurne razmjene točnih i istinitih znanja. 

U Bosni i Hercegovini, islamizam je postojao tijekom 20.st., a intezivirao se nakon Drugog svjetskog rata djelovanjem Alije Izetbegovića i njegove grupe. Tijekom rata u BiH 1992.-1995.g., u toj su zemlji djelovale mnoge terorističke skupine, obavještajne službe islamskih zemalja, a i uspostavljena je i službena Muslimanska/Bošnjačka stranka SDA.

Hybrid warfare is a significant threat to National Security and Countries in last 10 years. Hybrid activities are not new, but environment of cyberspace is completely different than before. We are witnessing a great expansion of the aforementioned fifth combat space, which knows no borders, fences, social or cultural barriers.

Croatia’s Homeland war and aggression to Ukraine are clear examples that can be described with term Hybrid warfare. Different phases during conflict and war (every conflict is not a war; every war is a conflict) has a lot of similarities, but also has a differences.

The first issue of the National Security and The Future journal was published in 2000. In the first 20 years of journal, 134 authors published 257 papers. In this paper we provide an alphabetical overview of the authors and their biographical information.

Časopis National Security and the Future otvorio je vrata objavljivanju znanstvenih i stručnih radova koji u okviru različitih znanstvenih područja proučavaju tematiku stvaranja lažne realnosti o događajima iz Domovinskog rata i nasuprot tome predstavljaju činjenice. Osim toga, u časopisu su objavljeni i ranije neobjavljeni dokumenti iz arhiva predsjednika Tuđmana kao i dokumenti koji se nalaze u arhivi Haaškoga suda, ali sada lakše dostupni

Časopis National Security and The Future “je posvećen unapređenju i razumijevanju načela i praksi izvještajne djelatnosti i nacionalne sigurnosti u suvremenoj povijesti i međunarodnim odnosima” . Cilj pokretanja časopisa je popunjavanje praznine u Srednjoj i Jugoistočnoj Europi, gdje ne postoje nacionalni ili međunarodni časopisi s područja nacionalne sigurnosti .

Projekt National Security and the Future (NSF) pokrenut je u veljači 1999. godine, kako bi  popunio prazninu prisutnu u srednjoj i jugoistočnoj Europi, gdje ne postoje nacionalni ili međunarodni časopisi s područja nacionalne sigurnosti. Već u lipnju 2000. godine, objavljen je prvi broj znanstvenog časopisa National Security and the Future. 

Osnova uporabe moći i distribucije resursa tako se promijenila i postalo je uvelike očito da će nove metode širenja poruka na velike  Preuzmite članak u PDF formatugeografske udaljenosti, sa značajno većim brzinama, fundamentalno promijeniti prirodu ljudske interakcije. U današnjem je svijetu interes i briga za manipulacijom javnoga mišljenja, formiranjem stavova i utjecajem na ponašanje dostiglo je razine bez presedana. Hibridne prijetnje i ratovi postali su prvoklasno sigurnosno pitanje 21. stoljeća te nagovještaj i putokaz sigurnosne budućnosti.  Ovaj rad se bavi teorijom i istraživanjem termina hibridnog ratovanja i prijetnji u Bosni i Hercegovini kroz sociološko terensko anketno ispitivanje stanovnika s ciljem induktivnog utvrđivanja stupnja znanja javnosti o istima. 

Hybrid threats and wars became a first-class security issue of 21st century, and a sign and an indication of the security in the future. This work deals with theory and research of the term hybrid warfare and threats in Bosnia and Herzegovina through a sociological field survey of the population aiming to inductively establish the level of public knowledge on it. 

Maritime affairs are of great importance to the world economy, which is why the security of this area is of the utmost importance. Maritime security can be disrupted in a number of ways, and in this paper the greatest emphasis is placed on underwater security. Although states are making efforts to safeguard maritime and underwater security, there is still plenty of room to raise underwater security to a much higher level.

Critical infrastructure (CI) involves elements that are fundamental to the normal operations of the human society. Resilience can be defined as the capacity to prevent, adapt, withstand and recover swiftly from both intentional and unintentional attacks. To achieve research objectives, a systematic review approach [Grant & Booth, 2009] can be used to identify and select related and relevant literature sources. This review technique can guarantee the quality and reliability of selected articles.

At the time of primary development, security was associated with gaining knowledge and the ability to provide sources of water, food, fire, and places to hide from different threats. Today, the issue of security is much more complex. It is directly connected with several thematic areas of human development that are depending on current and future technological and technical results of research and innovation activities.

The antecedent of the European Union, the European Coal and Steel Community, was born just two years after NATO. Since the very beginning, NATO and the European Union have lived in synergy and mutual dependence. Both projects have been shaped in order to deliver security, stability, peace and development to their respective Member States and both are major economic, political and military organizations.

Significant changes inside individual NATO member states in relation to their mutual relations as well as relations with the Russian Federation have led many to ask questions of justification of the existence of the NATO alliance. That led to the reopening of the process of encouraging the creation of joint defence and security institutions within the EU that need to protect the value-based system of the EU.
*Introductoy note at Zagreb Security Forum 2019.

Optužnica u predmetu IT-04-74 utemeljena je na tezi  „Krajnja je svrha vodstva  HZ(R)H-B-a i Franje Tuđmana uspostaviti hrvatsku cjelinu koja,  barem djelomično, rekonstruira granice Banovine iz 1939. godine, što bi olakšalo ponovno ujedinjenje hrvatskoga naroda; a takav je entitet bio ili trebao biti izravno pridružen Hrvatskoj neposredno nakon mogućeg raspada BiH, ili u drugom slučaju, postati samostalna država u BiH sa bliskim vezama s Hrvatskom. Kada se pažljivo čita ovako sročena optužnica onda je očito da je glavni krimen  „vodstva  HZ(R)H-B-a i Franje Tuđmana“ zagovarati i ustrajati na programu (kon)federalnog uređenja BiH. „Uspostaviti hrvatsku cjelinu“ je  kriminalni pothvat budući da taj hrvatski „samostalan“ entitet unutar BiH,  može odlučiti  i ne ostati u BiH „nakon mogućeg raspada BiH“.  Dakle, svaki federalni a pogotovo konfederalni entitet je kriminalni poduhvat jer može donijeti odluku „postati samostalna država“  ili pak odlučiti se za „ponovno ujedinjenje hrvatskoga naroda“. 

Na primjeru grada Bihaća u zapadnoj Bosni i anonimnog srpskog elaborata iz 1939. može se potvrditi kontinuitet projekata i pokušaja stvaranja „velike Srbije“ na području današnje Republike Hrvatske i Bosne i Hercegovine, odnosno kontinuitet „velikosrpske“ politike. Jednako tako, na primjeru hrvatske pomoći Bihaću, mogu se istaknuti zasluge Hrvatske u obrani Bosne i Hercegovine od velikosrpske agresije početkom 1990-ih, posebice u spašavanju stanovništva na području bihaćke općine, uglavnom Bošnjaka-muslimana.

Ograničavajući obranu Slobodana Praljka da pobija točke optužnice većina vijeća povrijedila je pravo na efikasnu obranu Slobodana Praljka. Kada optužba tvrdi i dokazuje da su se napadi od strane HVO-a odvijali i bili usmjereni prema civilnom stanovništvu u realizaciji zajedničkog kriminalnog plana, spriječiti obranu da pokaže kroz odgovarajuće dokumente i svjedoke da s e nije radilo o napadu na civilno stanovništvo i civile i da je sukob bio posljedica napada ABIH, znači narušavanje prava obrane predviđena u Statutu i imati unaprijed stvoren stav o optužbi.

Bezposadne letjelice (BL) tek su jedan od tri pojavna oblika bezposadnih sustava koji se, osim u zraku, mogu izraditi za samostalna i/ili upravljiva kretanja ispod ili na vodenoj površini te na kopnu. Jedno od rješenja koje je razvijano u namjenskoj industriji bili su i bezposadni zrakoplovi,za koje je uvažen naziv dron (BL). S vremenom su ti sustavi postajali sve jednostavniji s obzirom na mogućnosti izgradnje, ali sve sofisticiraniji s obzirom na aktivnosti koje mogu samostalno izvesti.

The issue of water management in the City of Zagreb can be seen in two aspects – water as a natural flood threat and water through management as a natural resource essential for everyday life. The priority task of water management is the fabrication of planning documents at all levels of management and water management. In addition, the fundamental attitudes and policies of Croatian development, along with the place and role of water in society established on the Constitution and laws are respected.

Technology has evolved as an important part of critical infrastructure through development as it is a key element for each country and citizen from the point of view of organizations that map the development trends of technology into operation, products and services. With the presentation of the importance of information technology, which, together with communication technology, is placed in the top of the importance of protecting and protecting it, the critical infrastructure of the country has been complemented by a set of organizations that we are pursuing and needed in this context.

We want to present the domain of risks for the critical infrastructure of Republic of Slovenia, because in this field can the unexpected and unforeseen events seriously endanger the national security.  Furthermore, such events can endanger already established rights of citizens of Republic of Slovenia and also basic human rights and liberties. The duty of subjects of leading and operating of Republic of Slovenia is to assure the existence and development of sovereignty of the State and a long-term security for all citizens. Critical infrastructure is unavoidable and is essential for societal safety. The success of organizations, populations and society that are part of the infrastructure function relies in the unconditional reliability and usefulness.

Maritime traffic is the bloodstream of European prosperity. Transport of energy, fisheries, environment and climate change – all depend on and have close relations with maritime security in one way or another (Drent et al 2013:25). Security as a fundamental value and prerequisite for the development of society and economy in all its segments are not, and should not be projected as expenditure and a reactive system, but instead as a proactive developmental factor and the underlying developmental resource of the country, its society, economy and its citizens.

Models of preventive and timely effective operations of the ship against possible pirate attacks have been systematically analyzed, as well as the actions of the defence ship against pirate attacks during the sailing in piracy areas and beyond. Based on the results, after carrying out the research, the model of prevention of possible pirate attacks against the ship was made, with developed Risk Assessment model, Game Theory model, and proposed improvements to protect the ship against pirate attacks by means of simulations of different attacks scenarios made by the use of Petri nets.

When the heads of the European domestic intelligence services came together in Berlin in May 2018 for a symposium organized by the German Bundesamt für Verfassungsschutz (BfV), the Director General of Great Britain’s MI5, Andrew Parker, declared empathically that counterterrorism cooperation between European intelligence services was more important than ever.

In an environment where the critical infrastructures are becoming increasingly interdependent, policymakers and citizens are increasingly aware of threats presented by radical political movements and terrorist attacks. Due to their interconnected nature, which is mainly powered by cyber systems, CI's are very vulnerable and can trigger cross-border effects due to their inherently regional or global nature. Within such a scenario, the European Union is still in search of a role to play.

This article starts with a tool of how to deal with the unknown. The tool is a specific Rumsfeld matrix that was developed in cooperation with the Dutch Intelligence and Security Institute of the Dutch defense forces (DISI). The Ad de Jonge Centre used this tool to cope with the different types of unknowns. A focus will be on the so-called unknown-unknown – in which it is both unknown of how to retrieve data, as well as the data themselves. 

The post 11 September 2001 era has changed governments, policy-makers religious leaders, the media and the general public to play both critical and constructive roles in the war against cyber terrorism and asymmetric warfare .  As the security and intelligence community inexorably works its way into the 21st century, it faces an unprecedented way of challenges. The chaotic world environment of the post Cold War offers a wide range of different issues to be understood, and a variety of new threats to be anticipated.